MSFT Earnings
2026-04-29
EPS Estimate
$4.06
$3.94 – $4.23
Revenue Estimate
$81.4B
Earnings Trend
beating
Current Price
$370.17
Our Position
mixedMicrosoft faces regulatory probe, geopolitical threats amid AI spending push
est. revisions stable
This divergence highlights a market grappling with short-term geopolitical and valuation pressures against Microsoft's aggressive AI and cloud expansion, with regulatory headwinds adding uncertainty. The stock trades far below its $589.90 mean analyst target.
Watch: Q3 earnings guidance on Copilot seat penetration and Azure margins, along with developments in the UK regulatory probe, will be key catalysts.
Data Signal Summary
2 bullish
1 bearish
Insider buying cluster
Put/call 0.7 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
1-Month Return
-8.6%
From 52w High
-33.5%
P/E Ratio
22.3
Est. Revisions (30d)
+0.0% 22up/6dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$590 $392–$730
Options P/C Ratio
0.65 10C/9P unusual
Est. Dispersion
39% 29 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong buy (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Tiger Global, Coatue, Elliott
Recent Activity
insider trade
Sale at price 409.52 per share.
analyst rating
6d ago
insider trade
Numoto Takeshi (EVP, Chief Marketing Officer) sold 1,351 shares of MSFT at $392.74 ($530,658 total) on 2026-03-02
30d ago
filing change
MSFT 10-K change (HIGH): Addition of detailed Strategic and Competitive Risks section in current filing.
245d ago
Get alerted when this prediction scores after earnings.