MSTR

MSTR Earnings Preview

29d until earnings

MSTR Earnings

2026-04-30
EPS Estimate
$-27.33
$-27.33 – $-27.33
Revenue Estimate
$127M
Earnings Trend
missing
Current Price
$124.80

Our Position

bearish · high

Bitcoin buying spree halts as funding evaporates

est. revisions stable

The halt exposes MSTR's Bitcoin strategy as mechanically dependent on sustained preferred stock pricing, not fundamental conviction. With STRC funding shut off and free cash flow deeply negative, resuming $1 billion-weekly purchases requires either dilutive common equity sales at depressed prices or raising new capital under unfavorable conditions—either path destroys shareholder value and signals the capital-raising phase has peaked.

Watch: Timing of next capital raise and structure (common vs. preferred) will reveal whether MSTR abandons Bitcoin accumulation or doubles down at distressed cost-of-capital; any restart at current depressed equity prices validates the thesis, multi-week pause confirms strategy is now capital-constrained.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates up +4% Insider selling cluster Put/call 0.5 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
1-Month Return
-6.2%
From 52w High
-73.4%
Est. Revisions (30d)
+3.6% 0up/0dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$374 $175–$705
Options P/C Ratio
0.51 9C/7P unusual
Est. Dispersion
0% 1 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater, D.E. Shaw

Recent Activity

insider trade Conversion of Exercise of derivative security at price 18.65 per share.
insider trade Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share.
insider trade
insider trade
insider trade
insider trade Conversion of Exercise of derivative security at price 69.12 per share.
insider trade Sale at price 200.00 - 202.02 per share.
insider trade Sale at price 208.55 per share.
insider trade
insider trade Sale at price 200.00 - 200.48 per share.

Get alerted when this prediction scores after earnings.