JPM Earnings
2026-04-14
EPS Estimate
$5.41
$5.02 – $5.70
Revenue Estimate
$48.5B
Earnings Trend
beating
Current Price
$282.84
Our Position
bearish · highEA deal closed, but macro headwinds override fee upside
89% historical accuracy
structured data
est. revisions falling
(-4.9pp / 30d)
Deal fees offset only a fraction of earnings pressure from net interest margin compression, inflation-driven loan losses, and a regulatory capital reset that benefits peers more than JPMorgan. Revenue growth is decelerating at 2.5% while estimates have been revised down 1.5% in 30 days despite 6 upward revisions, signaling analyst consensus is fragmenting.
Watch: Q1 earnings in April: NIM guidance and credit-loss provisions will show whether oil inflation and geopolitical stress translate to immediate LLP acceleration or if deposit flows and fee momentum hold.
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
2 bearish
Insider selling cluster
Put/call 0.6 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
1-Month Return
-7.6%
From 52w High
-15.5%
P/E Ratio
14.1
Est. Revisions (30d)
-1.5% 0up/2dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$340 $289–$400
Options P/C Ratio
0.62 1C/0P unusual
Est. Dispersion
13% 11 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma, Elliott, Soros
Recent Activity
insider trade
insider trade
Sale at price 307.19 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 307.14 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 306.40 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 306.42 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 306.41 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 306.41 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 306.40 per share.
insider trade
Sale at price 306.40 per share.
insider trade
Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share.
Get alerted when this prediction scores after earnings.