ARM Arm Holdings plc

bullish · high conviction track record → $149.11 -5.96 (-3.8%)
Mkt Cap $158B P/E 198.8 fwd 69.7 52wk $80.00 - $183.16 Earnings beating Earnings 2026-05-06
bullish for 5d | 15 signals · latest 2h ago | updated 11h ago
Bullish high conviction 3.7 / 10
Insider selling: $8,499,650 sold by 3 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -0.4%

Factor Breakdown

net -1.3
Est. Revisions
-0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Arm projects $15B AI chip revenue by 2031

adequate signal density n=69
Factors: -0.03 est. revisions -0.01 momentum -0.96 analyst

Watch: Watch H2 2026 production ramp and design wins to validate Arm's $15B revenue and margin expansion outlook.

Full analysis

Arm shifted from CPU licensing to chip manufacturing, launching a 136-core AGI CPU on TSMC's 3nm process targeting AI data centers. Analysts forecast Arm-based CPUs to dominate 90% of AI server market by 2029, up from 25% in 2025. Shares gained 29% YTD with targets as high as $240, led by a $140 price target from Bank of America. Arm's tech offers twice the performance and significant capex savings compared to x86 chips.

Arm's direct chip sales open a $15 billion AI market opportunity, marking a strategic pivot that could reshape data center CPU dynamics and drive sustained revenue growth.

Position history (5d) bull bear neutral
2026-03-26 2026-04-06
All 5 daily readings
2026-04-06 bullish · high 4sig
2026-04-05 bullish · high 2sig
2026-03-28 bullish · high 8sig
2026-03-27 bullish · high 11sig
2026-03-26 bullish · high 10sig

Get alerted when ARM changes direction

Compare

Arm Holdings plc Technology · Semiconductors
Mkt Cap
$158B
P/E
198.8 fwd 69.7
Beta
3.34
52w Range
$80.00 - $183.16
Short Interest
14.7M 10.56%
Days to Cover
3.9 -14%
Technicals uptrend
vs 20d MA
+12.0%
vs 50d MA
+19.0%
from 52w Hi
-16.5%
Vol (20d)
85%
1w return
-3.7%
1m return
+20.1%
3m return
+36.4%
Vol ratio
1.1x
Insiders
selling 0B / 4S
Analysts
bullish 3 up / 0 down
Earnings
beating 3B / 1M
EPS Estimate
$0.58 -0.4% 30d 0up / 2dn
Est. Dispersion
14% 28 analysts
Analyst Target
$165 $95 - $240
Options P/C
0.71
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 3S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Coatue, D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma, Renaissance
Financials
Revenue
$1.2B +26% YoY
FCF
$181M
Gross Margin
98%
Op Margin
15%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $857M
Coatue $251M
D.E. Shaw $235M
Two Sigma $78M
Renaissance $52M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 4
net selling · $8,499,650 sold
3 insiders · 4 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
CHILD JASON E · sell · $3,157,314
HAAS RENE A · sell · $5,131,328
Haas Rene A. · sell · $32,630
Haas Rene A. · sell · $178,378
earnings 4
EPS 0.55 (est 0.52362) · +0.1%
EPS 0.35 (est 0.3511) · -0.0%
EPS 0.39 (est 0.33134) · +0.2%
EPS 0.43 (est 0.40919) · +0.1%
analyst rating 11
Needham up → Buy 11d ago
Raymond James up → Outperform 12d ago
HSBC up → Buy 17d ago
ARM does not file 10-K/10-Q with the SEC
Transcript analysis coming soon

Evidence

Get alerted when ARM changes direction.