LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation

neutral track record → $622.79 +5.15 (+0.8%)
Mkt Cap $142B P/E 28.7 fwd 19.3 52wk $410.11 - $692.00 Earnings beating Earnings 2026-04-21
15 signals · latest 14h ago | updated 3d ago
Neutral n=69
Insider selling: $17,966,618 sold by 15 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -1.6%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)

War resolution risks derail defense rally

structured data thin signal density n=69
Factors: -0.11 est. revisions -0.48 momentum -0.96 analyst

Watch: Trump's next Iran signaling and Q1 gross margin hold at 11%+ as production velocity justifies the 30x multiple; margin misses trigger 5%+ selloff.

Full analysis

Jim Cramer flagged LMT's downside risk if geopolitical tensions ease, noting that investors may abandon defense stocks once conflict subsides. This contradicts the prior thesis that sustained backlog execution ($194B) and multi-year foreign orders (Greece's $36B package including 20 F-35s) insulate LMT from cycles. The tension is real: LMT trades down 3.5% in one month despite 9.1% revenue growth and strong institutional accumulation (D.E. Shaw, Citadel). Insider selling remains heavy (6 distinct sellers, $17.9M in sales) while insiders show zero buyer convictions.

If war premium collapses, LMT's 28.7x PE and 19.4x EV/EBITDA offer no margin of safety; downside to consensus low of $517 is 22% from current levels, making geopolitical de-escalation a material earnings shock risk.

Position history (6d) bull bear neutral
2026-03-05 2026-03-22
All 6 daily readings
2026-03-22 bullish · high 8sig
2026-03-20 bullish · high 11sig
2026-03-19 bullish · high 2sig
2026-03-16 bullish · high 2sig
2026-03-14 bullish · high 2sig
2026-03-05 bullish · high 8sig

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Why We're Neutral

net -2.0
Estimate Revisions
-0.1
estimates -1.6% in 30d
Insider Activity
+0.0
net neutral
Price Momentum
-0.5
-6.3% 30d return
Analyst Revisions
-1.0
downgrades > upgrades
Narrative Gap
+0.0
aligned

Compare

vs NVDA vs AMD vs AAPL vs TSLA vs MSFT vs META vs GOOGL vs AMZN vs TSM vs ASML
Lockheed Martin Corporation Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Mkt Cap
$142B
P/E
28.7 fwd 19.3
Beta
0.20
Div Yield
219.00%
52w Range
$410.11 - $692.00
Short Interest
2.8M 1.44%
Days to Cover
1.7 -5%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-1.6%
vs 50d MA
-1.6%
from 52w Hi
-8.0%
Vol (20d)
24%
1w return
-0.7%
1m return
-6.3%
3m return
+29.4%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Insiders
selling 0B / 4S
Analysts
bullish 1 up / 0 down
Earnings
beating 3B / 1M
EPS Estimate
$6.74 -1.6% 30d 0up / 3dn
Est. Dispersion
23% 18 analysts
Analyst Target
$664 $517 - $756
Options P/C
0.42
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 6S
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Two Sigma, Renaissance, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$20.3B +9% YoY
FCF
$2.8B
Gross Margin
11%
Op Margin
12%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $1.0B
Citadel $849M
Two Sigma $592M
Renaissance $73M
Bridgewater $22M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 58
net selling · $17,966,618 sold
15 insiders · 58 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
ST JOHN FRANK A · other
O'CONNOR KEVIN J · other
HILL STEPHANIE C · sell · $1,592,149
TAICLET JAMES D JR · award
HILL STEPHANIE C · award
ST JOHN FRANK A · award
ULMER GREGORY M · award
LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR · award
PAUL HARRY EDWARD III · award
SCOTT EVAN T. · award
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · award
RICCIARDONE MARIA A. · award
ST JOHN FRANK A · other
HILL STEPHANIE C · other
ULMER GREGORY M · other
LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR · other
PAUL HARRY EDWARD III · other
SCOTT EVAN T. · other
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · other
RICCIARDONE MARIA A. · other
TAICLET JAMES D JR · other
ST JOHN FRANK A · other
HILL STEPHANIE C · other
ULMER GREGORY M · other
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · other
TAICLET JAMES D JR · other
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · other
RICCIARDONE MARIA A. · other
ST JOHN FRANK A · sell · $3,826,166
HILL STEPHANIE C · sell · $2,120,042
LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR · sell · $1,421,506
PAUL HARRY EDWARD III · sell · $312,923
TAICLET JAMES D JR · award
HILL STEPHANIE C · award
ST JOHN FRANK A · award
MALAVE JESUS JR. · award
ULMER GREGORY M · award
LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR · award
PAUL HARRY EDWARD III · award
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · award
ST JOHN FRANK A · other
MALAVE JESUS JR. · other
HILL STEPHANIE C · other
ULMER GREGORY M · other
LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR · other
PAUL HARRY EDWARD III · other
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · other
TAICLET JAMES D JR · other
ULMER GREGORY M · sell · $1,868,947
ULMER GREGORY M · other
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · other
LAVAN MARYANNE R · other
LEE MARIA RICCIARDONE · other
HILL STEPHANIE C · sell · $1,775,771
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · sell · $2,048,563
ELLIS JAMES O JR · other
GORDON ILENE S · other
CAHILL TIMOTHY S · sell · $3,000,551
earnings 4
EPS 7.28 (est 6.34761) · +0.1%
EPS 1.46 (est 6.51485) · -0.8%
EPS 6.95 (est 6.35802) · +0.1%
EPS 5.8 (est 5.74615) · +0.0%
analyst rating 3
Wells Fargo init → Equal-Weight 1d ago

Evidence

14h ago Citigroup main LMT: Neutral → Neutral
1d ago Wells Fargo init LMT: Equal-Weight
2d ago US Aerospace/Defence Stocks Down? reddit-stocks
3d ago Should You Buy Defense Stocks After the Iran Conflict Sent Them to All-Time Highs? yahoo-finance
3d ago Good News for Space Stocks: NASA Wants 30 Moon Landings yahoo-finance
5d ago What to invest in now? reddit-stocks
6d ago Jim Cramer Says “If the War’s Over, We’re Not Going to Want to Own Lockheed” yahoo-finance
7d ago 2 Defense Tech Stocks That Could Still Win in Periods of Stagflation yahoo-finance
7 older signals
8d ago Susquehanna Lifts Price Target on Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) to $740, Keeps Positive Rating
8d ago 3 Defense Stocks To Replenish America’s Depleting Arsenal
8d ago Palantir Named as Part of Trump Administration's $185 Billion Golden Dome Project
11d ago SpaceX Will Be Even More Profitable After Its 2026 IPO - The Globe and Mail
12d ago Promising Defense Stocks To Research - March 21st - MarketBeat
13d ago Will Greece's New Air Defense Plan Boost Lockheed Martin's Stock? - AOL.com
14d ago Better Defense Stock: Lockheed Martin vs. RTX - AOL.com

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