NKE NIKE, Inc.

bearish · high conviction track record → $44.19 -0.44 (-1.0%)
Mkt Cap $65B P/E 28.7 fwd 22.5 52wk $43.17 - $80.17 Earnings beating
bearish for 2d | 15 signals · latest Updated Saturday | updated 11h ago
Bearish high conviction 4.6 / 10
Insider selling: $81,443,487 sold by 26 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: price_momentum bullish vs estimate_revisions, analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: -48.5% (1 up, 3 down in 30d)

Factor Breakdown

net -2.4
Est. Revisions
-1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.3
Analyst Rev.
-0.8
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Nike Q3 revenue holds; EPS, margins dip

adequate signal density n=69
Factors: -1.00 est. revisions +0.30 momentum -0.76 analyst divergence

Watch: Monitor Q4 earnings guidance for margin recovery and revenue growth amid sluggish direct channel sales.

Full analysis

Nike reported flat fiscal Q3 revenue near $11.3B, beating estimates, but adjusted EPS missed at $0.35, down year-over-year. Gross margin fell by 130bp to 40.2% amid a 4% decline in Nike Direct sales, offset by 5% wholesale growth. Shares plunged 15.5% on April 1, now down about 30% YTD with cautious analyst stance after multiple downgrades to Neutral.

Stagnant revenue and margin contraction highlight ongoing earnings pressure amid changing consumer behavior, pushing analyst sentiment bearish and challenging Nike's turnaround narrative.

Position history (2d) bull bear neutral
2026-04-05 2026-04-06
What We Found Primary source analysis others skip
Material Events (8-K)
8-K
Credit Agreement

Nike, Inc. entered into a 364-day credit agreement dated March 6, 2026, involving multiple banks including Bank of America, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Deutsche Bank Securities, Goldman Sachs Bank, and ...

Filed 2026-03-09 · Nike, Inc., Bank of America, N.A.
8-K
Organizational Restructuring and Cost Reduction Plan

NIKE's management approved a plan for organizational changes aiming to operate more efficiently and profitably. These changes, along with previously approved actions, are expected to result in pre-tax...

Filed 2026-03-05 · Matthew Friend, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

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Compare

NIKE, Inc. Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Mkt Cap
$65B
P/E
28.7 fwd 22.5
Beta
1.32
Div Yield
367.00%
52w Range
$43.17 - $80.17
Short Interest
42.7M 4.55%
Days to Cover
2.6 +7%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-16.5%
vs 50d MA
-24.7%
from 52w Hi
-43.2%
Vol (20d)
57%
1w return
-15.1%
1m return
-24.6%
3m return
-30.2%
Vol ratio
2.1x
Insiders
selling 1B / 3S
Analysts
bearish 0 up / 3 down
Earnings
beating 4B / 0M
EPS Estimate
$0.11 -48.5% 30d 1up / 3dn
Est. Dispersion
97% 19 analysts
Analyst Target
$65 $23 - $120
Options P/C
0.56
Insider Cluster
strong buy 5B / 7S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$12.4B +1% YoY
FCF
$386M
Gross Margin
41%
Op Margin
8%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $2.0B
Citadel $1.6B
Bridgewater $4M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 81
net selling · $81,443,487 sold · $6,373,537 bought
26 insiders · 81 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
COOK TIMOTHY D · award
KNIGHT PHILIP H · other
KNIGHT PHILIP H · other
HILL ELLIOTT · buy · $1,001,307
COOK TIMOTHY D · buy · $2,948,500
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES · buy · $500,080
LEINWAND ROBERT · award
HEINLE TREASURE · award
MONTAGNE AMY · award
MCCARTNEY PHILIP · award
ALAGIRISAMY VENKATESH · award
FRIEND MATTHEW · award
HILL ELLIOTT · award
PARKER MARK G · sell · $5,577,854
PARKER MARK G · other
KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG · buy · $1,002,754
HEINLE TREASURE · sell · $306,461
LEINWAND ROBERT · sell · $52,367
DUCKETT THASUNDA BROWN · award
KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG · award
GIL MONICA · award
ROGERS JOHN W JR · award
HENRY MARIA G · award
HENRY PETER B · award
LEINWAND ROBERT · sell · $565,021
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES · award
KNIGHT TRAVIS A · award
PELUSO MICHELLE A · award
LEINWAND ROBERT · sell · $76,058
NIELSEN JOHANNA · award
LEINWAND ROBERT · award
HEINLE TREASURE · award
MONTAGNE AMY · award
MCCARTNEY PHILIP · award
FRIEND MATTHEW · award
WILLIAMS CRAIG ALAN · award
HILL ELLIOTT · award
PARKER MARK G · sell · $6,535,903
MCCARTNEY PHILIP · sell · $244,138
LEINWAND ROBERT · sell · $123,152
PARKER MARK G · sell · $7,951,900
PARKER MARK G · exercise · $6,204,000
PARKER MARK G · sell · $9,492,161
NIELSEN JOHANNA · sell · $7,978
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES · buy · $502,756
PARKER MARK G · sell · $12,361,582
LEINWAND ROBERT · sell · $328,082
O NEILL HEIDI · sell · $1,006,983
HEINLE TREASURE · award
ROGERS JOHN W JR · buy · $191,624
LEINWAND ROBERT · award
PARKER MARK G · sell · $3,463,362
PARKER MARK G · other
KNIGHT TRAVIS A · other
HILL ELLIOTT · award
BENKO CATHLEEN A · award
DUCKETT THASUNDA BROWN · award
GIL MONICA · award
ROGERS JOHN W JR · award
HENRY PETER B · award
HENRY MARIA G · award
COOK TIMOTHY D · award
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES · award
KNIGHT TRAVIS A · award
PELUSO MICHELLE A · award
MATHESON MONIQUE SUZETTE · award
FRIEND MATTHEW · award
WILLIAMS CRAIG ALAN · award
MILLER ANN M · award
O NEILL HEIDI · award
DONAHOE JOHN JOSEPH II · award
PARKER MARK G · sell · $4,093,986
FRIEND MATTHEW · sell · $394,281
PARKER MARK G · sell · $8,026,700
PARKER MARK G · exercise · $4,263,600
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES · buy · $226,516
FRIEND MATTHEW · sell · $889,185
PARKER MARK G · sell · $15,682,727
NIELSEN JOHANNA · sell · $26,406
MATHESON MONIQUE SUZETTE · sell · $4,237,200
MATHESON MONIQUE SUZETTE · exercise · $3,489,300
earnings 4
EPS 0.54 (est 0.27711) · +0.9%
EPS 0.14 (est 0.12337) · +0.1%
EPS 0.49 (est 0.2656) · +0.8%
EPS 0.53 (est 0.37351) · +0.4%
analyst rating 15
Goldman Sachs down → Neutral 4d ago
JP Morgan down → Neutral 5d ago
B of A Securities down → Neutral 5d ago
material event 2
Nike, Inc. entered into a 364-day credit agreement dated March 6, 2026, involving multiple banks including Bank of Ameri... SEC↗
NIKE's management approved a plan for organizational changes aiming to operate more efficiently and profitably. These ch... SEC↗
Filing analysis pending — next scan runs every 12 hours
Transcript analysis coming soon

Evidence

Updated Thursday Goldman Sachs down NKE: Buy → Neutral
4d ago Citigroup main NKE: Neutral → Neutral
4d ago JP Morgan down NKE: Overweight → Neutral
7 older signals
5d ago B of A Securities down NKE: Buy → Neutral
5d ago BTIG main NKE: Buy → Buy
5d ago Barclays main NKE: Overweight → Overweight
5d ago BNP Paribas main NKE: Underperform → Underperform
5d ago Piper Sandler main NKE: Overweight → Overweight
5d ago Evercore ISI Group main NKE: Outperform → Outperform
5d ago Wells Fargo main NKE: Overweight → Overweight

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