MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc.

bullish · high conviction track record → $99.05 +11.24 (+12.8%)
Mkt Cap $83B P/E 30.9 fwd 17.4 52wk $47.09 - $102.77 Earnings beating
bullish for 3d | 15 signals · latest 13h ago | updated 1h ago
Bullish high conviction n=61
Insider selling: $53,389,997 sold by 19 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, price_momentum, analyst_revisions bullish vs filing_risk_change bear
Est. revisions: +5.6% (20 up, 4 down in 30d)

Nvidia Pumps $2B into Marvell for AI

sweet_spot signal density n=61
Factors: +0.36 est. revisions +0.55 momentum +0.87 analyst divergence

Watch: Monitor Q1 FY2026 earnings in May for updated data center revenue guidance and management commentary on the Nvidia partnership impact.

Full analysis

Marvell shares jumped 10-11% on March 31, 2026, after Nvidia announced a $2 billion strategic investment to launch the NVLink Fusion platform. This partnership integrates Marvell into Nvidia’s AI infrastructure, leveraging Marvell’s custom AI accelerators and its recent acquisition of Celestial AI. Oppenheimer also named Marvell a top semiconductor pick, citing robust AI spending and high-beta characteristics.

Nvidia's $2 billion investment firmly establishes Marvell as a critical component in the leading AI infrastructure ecosystem, directly boosting its data center revenue trajectory despite prior management warnings on capex sustainability.

Position history (3d) bull bear neutral
2026-03-11 2026-03-17
What We Found Primary source analysis others skip
SEC Filing Changes
HIGH
NEW items added

Current filing mentions that 'the current level of capital expenditure (capex) on AI infrastructure may not be sustainable over the long term and a significant reduction in AI-related spending will likely harm our financial results', and adds risks that 'AI systems may make unforeseen or unintended discoveries that...may have a material adverse effect on our revenue and profitability.' Prior filing discussed AI, Cloud, and 5G markets but without these specific points.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
NEW items added

Current filing includes 'risks related to the potential impact of AI on our business model and products' which was absent in the prior filing.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
NEW items added

Current filing added risks related to 'general macroeconomic conditions such as economic slowdowns, inflation, stagflation, high or rising interest rates, financial institution instability, and recessions', and 'global economic conditions such as the current armed conflict in Israel and the Middle East'. Prior filing only mentioned general macroeconomic conditions without these specific details.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
MEDIUM
MATERIAL LANGUAGE CHANGES

Stock-based compensation marginally decreased overall but shifted with small decrease in selling, general and administrative expenses offset by increases in research and development and cost of goods sold.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
MEDIUM
NEW items added

On June 30, 2025, an amended and restated $1.5 billion revolving credit facility (2025 Revolving Credit Facility) was entered, replacing prior facility. The new facility has a 5-year term and floating rate tied to adjusted term SOFR plus margin. On the same date, we issued $500 million senior notes due 2030 and $500 million senior notes due 2035.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
DOLLAR AMOUNT OR SPECIFICITY CHANGES

Net revenue increased from $5.8 billion (fiscal 2025) to $8.2 billion (fiscal 2026), a 42% increase versus 5% prior growth. Cost of goods sold as a percentage of net revenue decreased from 58.7% to 49.0%, while gross profit margin improved from 41.3% to 51.0%. Restructuring charges dropped from $353.9 million (6.1%) to $15.5 million (0.2%). Stock repurchases increased from $725 million to $2.0 billion. Cash and cash equivalents increased from $948 million to $2.6 billion.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
MATERIAL LANGUAGE CHANGES

Prior: "Fiscal 2024 had a 53-week period. Fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2023 each had a 52-week period." Current: "Fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025 each had a 52-week period. Fiscal 2024 had a 53-week period."

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
MATERIAL LANGUAGE CHANGES

Prior: "...our solutions are empowering the data economy and enabling the data center, enterprise networking, carrier infrastructure, consumer, and automotive/industrial end markets." Current: "...our solutions are empowering the data economy and enabling the data center and communications and other end markets."

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
MEDIUM
NEW items added

On May 1, 2025, we received notification that our application for government incentives in a foreign jurisdiction was approved, covering an incentive period from February 2, 2025 through February 1, 2030. Qualifying expenditures generate credits reducing cost of sales and operating expenses and may offset taxes payable or be refunded in cash. We believe there is reasonable assurance of meeting conditions and recognized benefits associated with qualifying expenditures in fiscal 2026. Realization depends on investment levels, audits, and regulatory compliance, with possibility of clawbacks if conditions are not met.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
NEW items added

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 (the 2025 Tax Act) was signed into law on July 4, 2025. It makes permanent key elements of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including domestic research cost expensing, 100% bonus depreciation, and modifications to the U.S. International tax framework. The fiscal 2026 tax provision includes the impact of the 2025 Tax Act. We continue to evaluate its impact on our income taxes.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
HIGH
NEW items added

On August 14, 2025, we completed the sale of our automotive ethernet business to Infineon Technologies AG for $2.5 billion in cash. During the third quarter of fiscal 2026, we recorded a pre-tax gain on sale of $1.8 billion, which is included in interest income and other, net in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. Subsequent to our fiscal 2026 year end, on February 2, 2026, we completed the acquisition of Celestial AI, Inc., a provider of a Photonic Fabric TM technology platform, accelerating our connectivity strategy for AI and cloud data centers. At acquisition close, we paid approximately $1.3 billion in cash (or $1.0 billion net of cash acquired) and issued approximately 24.5 million shares of common stock. Contingent on achievement of revenue milestones, additional cash and shares may be required through fiscal 2029. Similarly, on February 10, 2026, we completed the acquisition of XConn Technologies Holdings, Ltd., a provider of advanced PCIe and CXL switching silicon, expanding our switching portfolio. At acquisition close, we paid approximately $280 million in cash and issued approximately 2.1 million shares of common stock.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
MEDIUM
LANGUAGE CHANGES

Current filing added causes of sales fluctuation including 'the continued diversification of our customer base as we expand into new markets, adverse changes in the political and economic policies of the U.S. or other governments (such as changes in export policies), and natural disasters or other issues' while prior filing included fewer causes.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11
MEDIUM
NEW items added

Current filing states: 'For example, during fiscal 2026, there were two customers (one distributor and one direct customer) whose revenues represented 10% or more of total net revenue. In addition, net revenue from our ten (10) largest customers, inclusive of our distributor and direct customers, represented 82% of our total net revenue for fiscal 2026.' Prior filing had similar disclosure referencing fiscal 2025 with 81% revenue from ten largest customers.

10-K · Filed 2026-03-11

Get alerted when MRVL changes direction

Why We're Bullish

net 0.9
Estimate Revisions
+0.4
estimates +5.6% in 30d
Insider Activity
+0.0
net neutral
Price Momentum
+0.6
+7.5% 30d return
Analyst Revisions
+0.9
upgrades > downgrades
Narrative Gap
+0.0
aligned

⚠ DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, price_momentum, analyst_revisions bullish vs filing_risk_change bearish

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Compare

Marvell Technology, Inc. Technology · Semiconductors
Mkt Cap
$83B
P/E
30.9 fwd 17.4
Beta
1.99
Div Yield
25.00%
52w Range
$47.09 - $102.77
Short Interest
33.8M 4.55%
Days to Cover
1.9 +4%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
-1.4%
vs 50d MA
+5.1%
from 52w Hi
-12.3%
Vol (20d)
83%
1w return
-2.6%
1m return
+7.5%
3m return
+1.8%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Insiders
selling 0B / 5S
Earnings
beating 3B / 1M
EPS Estimate
$0.80 +5.6% 30d 20up / 4dn
Est. Dispersion
5% 32 analysts
Analyst Target
$121 $85 - $164
Options P/C
0.50 8C / 6P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong buy 6B / 7S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Coatue, D.E. Shaw, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$2.2B +22% YoY
FCF
$258M
Gross Margin
52%
Op Margin
19%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $1.2B
Coatue $177M
D.E. Shaw $86M
Bridgewater $84M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 133
net selling · $53,389,997 sold · $3,425,871 bought
19 insiders · 133 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
BHARATHI SANDEEP · sell · $4,424,079
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
BHARATHI SANDEEP · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $465,400
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
BHARATHI SANDEEP · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $126,553
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · buy · $1,048,424
MEINTJES WILLEM A · buy · $265,302
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · buy · $530,604
BHARATHI SANDEEP · buy · $265,302
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $217,050
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
BHARATHI SANDEEP · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $102,780
DIXON PANTEHA · sell · $87,886
KNIGHT MARACHEL · other
BUSS BRADLEY W · other
SWITZ ROBERT E · other
BROWN TUDOR · other
WALLACE RICHARD P · other
DURN DANIEL J · other
STRACHAN MICHAEL G · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $38,249
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $97,125
DIXON PANTEHA · sell · $80,547
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $390,600
DIXON PANTEHA · sell · $83,590
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $390,000
STRACHAN MICHAEL G · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $90,000
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $685,300
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · other
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
DIXON PANTEHA · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $103,245
DIXON PANTEHA · sell · $98,312
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $412,980
BUSS BRADLEY W · buy · $207,000
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $159,525
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $134,835
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $638,100
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $746,400
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $954,485
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
DIXON PANTEHA · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $177,495
STRACHAN MICHAEL G · sell · $613,250
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $282,500
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · other
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $183,750
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $735,000
BROWN WILLIAM TUDOR · sell · $1,211,806
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $133,710
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $534,840
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $484,620
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
DIXON PANTEHA · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $120,750
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · sell · $12,075,000
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · buy · $1,009,190
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $177,075
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · sell · $439,740
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $110,805
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $443,220
TAMER FORD · other
TAMER FORD · sell · $6,822,720
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $100,125
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · other
DIXON PANTEHA · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $110,820
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $369,400
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · sell · $3,750,000
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $175,175
DURN DANIEL J · buy · $100,049
WALLACE RICHARD P · other
DURN DANIEL J · other
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $367,100
STRACHAN MICHAEL G · award
KNIGHT MARACHEL · other
BUSS BRADLEY W · other
SWITZ ROBERT E · other
TAMER FORD · other
BROWN TUDOR · other
ANDREWS SARA C. · other
BROWN WILLIAM TUDOR · other
STRACHAN MICHAEL G · exercise · $334,844
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · sell · $2,075,400
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $342,850
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $64,490
CASPER MARK JOHN · sell · $161,875
HUSSAIN MUHAMMAD RAGHIB · other
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · other
DIXON PANTEHA · other
CASPER MARK JOHN · other
MEINTJES WILLEM A · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · sell · $2,064,600
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $356,250
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $71,500
MEINTJES WILLEM A · sell · $67,790
KOOPMANS CHRISTOPHER R · sell · $332,200
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · sell · $1,985,100
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · sell · $2,961,000
MURPHY MATTHEW JOSEPH · other
Murphy Matthew J · sell · $2,961,000
earnings 4
EPS 0.62 (est 0.6132) · +0.0%
EPS 0.67 (est 0.67343) · -0.0%
EPS 0.76 (est 0.73778) · +0.0%
EPS 0.8 (est 0.79165) · +0.0%
filing change 13
HIGH NEW items added: Added details on changes in product demand specifically mentioning AI infrastructure capital expenditure sustainability ...
full analysis

Current filing mentions that 'the current level of capital expenditure (capex) on AI infrastructure may not be sustainable over the long term and a significant reduction in AI-related spending will likely harm our financial results', and adds risks that 'AI systems may make unforeseen or unintended discoveries that...may have a material adverse effect on our revenue and profitability.' Prior filing discussed AI, Cloud, and 5G markets but without these specific points.

HIGH NEW items added: New risk factor on AI impact on business model added.
full analysis

Current filing includes 'risks related to the potential impact of AI on our business model and products' which was absent in the prior filing.

HIGH NEW items added: Expanded risk categories including macroeconomic risks and geopolitical impacts.
full analysis

Current filing added risks related to 'general macroeconomic conditions such as economic slowdowns, inflation, stagflation, high or rising interest rates, financial institution instability, and recessions', and 'global economic conditions such as the current armed conflict in Israel and the Middle East'. Prior filing only mentioned general macroeconomic conditions without these specific details.

MEDIUM MATERIAL LANGUAGE CHANGES: Increase in stock-based compensation details.
full analysis

Stock-based compensation marginally decreased overall but shifted with small decrease in selling, general and administrative expenses offset by increases in research and development and cost of goods sold.

MEDIUM NEW items added: New credit facility and debt issuance details.
full analysis

On June 30, 2025, an amended and restated $1.5 billion revolving credit facility (2025 Revolving Credit Facility) was entered, replacing prior facility. The new facility has a 5-year term and floating rate tied to adjusted term SOFR plus margin. On the same date, we issued $500 million senior notes due 2030 and $500 million senior notes due 2035.

8 more
HIGH Net revenue, cost, and profitability changes.
HIGH Change in fiscal year week period order and details.
HIGH Changed description of end markets and business focus.
MEDIUM New government incentive notification.
HIGH New tax legislation impact noted.
HIGH New business transactions occurred.
MEDIUM Enhanced explanation of sales fluctuations with more causes identified.
MEDIUM Added detailed concentration risk disclosure referencing two customers representing 10% or more reve...

Evidence

7 older signals
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: Added detailed concentration risk disclosure referencin
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: Enhanced explanation of sales fluctuations with more ca
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: New business transactions occurred.
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: New tax legislation impact noted.
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: New government incentive notification.
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: Changed description of end markets and business focus.
3d ago MRVL 10-K filing change: Change in fiscal year week period order and details.

Get alerted when MRVL changes direction.