GOOGL vs TSLA
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TurboQuant cuts demand case; capex ROI unproven
- • Stock down 20.2% from $349 peak to $280.92; trading at 25.4x forward P/E
- • Q4 2025: $100.3B revenue (+18% YoY), Cloud grew 48% to $17.7B with 30% gross margin
- • Google TurboQuant reduces memory use 6x, cutting demand justification for $175–$185B 2026 capex
Terafab's $25B bet collides with 8% delivery decline
- • HSBC price target $131 (65% downside from $373)
- • Q1 2026 deliveries guidance 365,645 units (down 12.5% QoQ)
- • Terafab capex $20-50 billion for 1M wafer starts/month target
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